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2024-12-13 08:59:21

CITIC Securities: It is estimated that the reverse repo rate will drop by 40-50bps next year, and the LPR and loan interest rates may drop even more. CITIC Securities Research Report believes that the Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing. On the whole, the policy level is fully aware of the grim situation that external pressure may increase significantly within next year, and has put forward a series of requirements such as stable growth, stable prices, stable employment and stable people's livelihood. From the perspective of fiscal policy, the amount of financial instruments supporting the real economy will be comprehensively increased, the government's disposable financial resources will be significantly improved, and the fiscal expenditure structure will be tilted to the marginal consumption of people's livelihood. From the perspective of monetary policy, the meeting called for the implementation of a moderately loose monetary policy, timely lowering the RRR and cutting interest rates. We expect the reverse repo rate to drop by 40-50bps next year, and the LPR and loan interest rates may drop even more.Fitch Global Shipping predicts that the performance of each sub-industry will grow steadily, but it will be partially offset by the downward trajectory of container shipping in 2025.In the first 10 months of this year, the number of tourists from China to Hungary nearly doubled. According to the latest data from the Hungarian Ministry of Economic Affairs, a total of 183,000 tourists from China arrived in Hungary in the first 10 months of this year, nearly doubling compared with the same period last year.


International copper closed down more than 1.1%, while Shanghai nickel and alumina rose more than 1.5% at most. International copper closed down 1.14%, Shanghai copper closed down 0.94%, Shanghai aluminum closed up 0.12%, Shanghai zinc closed down 0.83%, Shanghai lead closed down 0.37%, Shanghai nickel closed up 1.51% and Shanghai tin closed down 0.81%. Alumina closed up 1.04% at night. Stainless steel night trading closed down 0.23%.YiXixi sovereign bond yields in the euro zone rose by about 16 basis points at most. In 2024, the European Central Bank cut interest rates three times. The yield of French 10-year government bonds rose by 9.5 basis points to 2.987%, approaching the top of 3.032% on November 28th. US stocks briefly fell before the market, and reached a new low of 2.880% at 22:07 Beijing time (during the press conference of European Central Bank President Lagarde). The yield of Italian 10-year government bonds rose by 15.7 basis points to 3.348%, approaching the top of 3.410% on November 28th, and was on the rise all day, reaching a daily low of 3.218% at 21:56 (during Lagarde's press conference). Spain's 10-year bond yields rose by 11.6 basis points, while Greece's 10-year bond yields rose by 13.5 basis points.Apple's self-developed wireless chip will be put into new products released in 2025. It is reported that Apple's self-developed wireless chip will be put into new products released in 2025. The chips of Apple iPhone and home wireless devices are close to switching from Broadcom supply to self-developed products. The internal code of Apple's self-developed wireless chip is Proxima, which will be put into iPad and Mac in 2026.


The yield of 2/10-year German bonds rose by about 8 basis points at most. At the end of the European market on Thursday (December 12), the yield of German 10-year government bonds rose by 7.8 basis points to 2.205%, which was in a rising state for most of the day. It was as low as 2.123% at 21:56 Beijing time (shortly after the press conference of European Central Bank President Lagarde began, before the US stock market closed), and then rebounded. The yield of two-year German bonds rose by 7.3 basis points, reaching a new high of 2.204%, which was 1.915% lower than the new low of 21:43 (after the European Central Bank announced the third interest rate cut in the year, after the release of American PPI and before the start of Lagarde's press conference). The yield of 30-year German bonds rose by 6.9 basis points to 2.445%, which was on the rise all day. The yield spread of 2/10-year German bonds rose by 0.838 basis points to +18.116 basis points, and rose to +20.614 basis points at 21:43. British 10-year bond yields rose by 4.6 basis points, and two-year British bond yields rose by 2.3 basis points. The yield spread of 2/10-year British bonds rose by 2.311 basis points to +8.709 basis points.Middle East Stock Market | On Thursday (December 12th), the all-share index of Saudi Stock Exchange closed down 0.41% to 12,099.33 points, up 1.40% this week. ARAMCO.AB closed down 0.35% to 28.45 Saudi riyals, up 1.79% this week. Albilad Southern Dongying MSCI Hong Kong China ETF listed in Saudi Arabia closed up 1.03% to 9.78 Saudi riyals, up 3.82% this week.Intel executives said that under the leadership of the new leadership, they will increase investment in products.

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